Well, after the TX and OH primaries, it looks like the Dems' race for the White House is going to come down to the wire. It's so rare that the PA primary matters a rat's smashed ass that I'm wondering if we'll get the glam treatment here by the media. Probably not but hey, we can hope for a media circus, can't we.
As for how it's gonna play, here's my pick:
Going into the nominating convention, Obama will have the lead in delegates.
But Clinton will walk away with the nomination.
Why? Well, unlike the Republicans, who settle things in a clear winner-take-all manner, the Dems apportion delegates to candidates based on their popular vote, even if a candidate fails to win a state, he/she still gets delegates. Had the Dems employed a winner-take-all system, Obama would have been out after Clinton took CA, NJ, NY and a few other big states.
And then there are the Superdelegates, who, come convention time, can vote any way they damn well please, regardless of how they're pledged. And I think they'll swing to Hillary. Why? Because anyone who remembers Jimmy Carter's presidency knows that no matter how appealing a fresh uncorrupted face may be, it takes alliances to get the job done.
Hillary, in my opinion, has missed a key opportunity up to this point. Rather than focusing on Obamas lack of "experience", she should have focused on his lack of "alliances". Plainly put, he hasn't been in the system long enough for people to owe him favors...favors he'll need to call in when building a cabinet, getting
laws thru Congress, etc. Don't get me wrong, he gives a hell of a speech. Goosebump worthy. But Jimmy Carter was charming in his time too, and had a Democratic Congress to work with. Except that he didn't. He and the legislative branch fought and bickered and squabbled, and in the final analysis, nothing got done. Which opened the door to Ronald Reagan, and well, you know the story from there. I don't want to see the same happen to Obama. He's young, he can run again. Maybe in 8 years when Hillary's two terms are done. ;-)